Piassek’s Plays: Riding Hot Hands at Lone Star

Gambling
Horses leave the starting gate at Lone Star Park during a turf race in this file photo. (Eclipse Sportswire)

In his regular gambling blog, John Piassek presents his top picks for the upcoming weekend in horse racing, offering betting options at different budget levels. Piassek’s Plays is brought to you by Horseplayers.com, the official online qualifying site of the Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge (BCBC) and National Horseplayers Championship (NHC). Horseplayers.com offers low-cost feeders every day and BCBC and NHC qualifiers every weekend, and it’s the only site where you can qualify for the $1 million BCBC. It’s free to sign up – click here to get information about registering and how to enter contests.

Piassek has contributed to the horse racing sites The Racing Biz and Danonymous Racing and worked at Tioga Downs, Monmouth Park, and Saratoga Race Course. He joined America’s Best Racing in January 2021.


Saturday, April 24

Lone Star Park, Race 6, 5:55 p.m. ET

weekend TV schedule

Friday, April 23: 1 p.m.-5:30 p.m. ET on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Saturday, April 24: 1 p.m.-11 p.m. on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Sunday, April 25: 1 p.m.-5:30 p.m. on FS2; post time varies on TVG

#1 Continuum: Jockey Stewart Elliott and trainer Steve Asmussen were an unstoppable combination over the winter at Sam Houston Race Park. They ran away with the jockey and trainer titles, respectively, and are hitting at 22% when they team up over the past three months.

They’ll team up once again here with Continuum in a non-winners of three claiming race going six furlongs on dirt. He’s making his first start since Nov. 20, when he was fourth in a similar race. He was claimed from Asmussen in that race, but the claim was voided, suggesting that something may have gone amiss in that race. The fact that he hasn’t raced since then further validates that theory. It looks like he’s back in good shape, with a string of solid workouts at Louisiana Downs. His most recent workout, a four-furlong drill on April 7 in :48.60, was the fastest workout at the distance that day. He has good tactical speed, some back-class from races at Ellis Park and Saratoga Race Course last summer, and a great trainer-jockey combo. With lots of speed signed on here, Elliott can rate his mount right off the pace and come through on or near the inside when they give way.

STRATEGY ON A $10 BUDGET

$6 to win on 1

$2 exacta: 1 with 5,6 ($4 total)

STRATEGY ON A $25 BUDGET

$8 to win on 1

$4 exacta: 1 with 5,6 ($8 total)

$1 trifecta: 1 with 3,5,6 with 2,3,5,6 ($9 total)

STRATEGY ON A $50 BUDGET

$21 to win on 1

$10 exacta: 1 with 5,6 ($20 total)

$1 trifecta: 1 with 3,5,6 with 2,3,5,6 ($9 total)

Lone Star Park, Race 9, 7:19 p.m. ET

#6 Best Little Man: I’ll give the nod in this competitive Texas-bred allowance race to another one of the region’s top trainers, Karl Broberg. This gelding went to Delta Downs last out, where he ran a gutsy race. Best Little Man rated just off the pace, then fought on in the stretch and won by three-quarters of a length. He also posted a victory on Feb. 12 at this level at the Sam Houston meet. Look for him to rate just off the pace and use his great closing speed to power his way to victory.

STRATEGY ON A $10 BUDGET

$4 to win on 6

$3 exacta box: 6,12 ($6 total)

STRATEGY ON A $25 BUDGET

$9 to win on 6

$4 exacta key box: 6 with 1,12 ($16 total)

STRATEGY ON A $50 BUDGET

$14 to win on 6

$9 exacta key box: 6 with 1,12 ($36 total)

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